Friday, December 12, 2014

Technology Foresight

The new year is around the corner. Once again, we’d like to take a forward-looking view on the future to see what will be the key drivers at the technology forefront. The following lists the items that are forecast to lead the innovation charge in the new year: Streaming, Microservices, Analytics, Real-time, Telemetry, Internet of Things, Containerization, Software-defined Anything (SMARTICS). Let's have a closer look at them one by one.

  • Streaming: Sophisticated stream data processing is maturing to be applied for various business solutions, such as order routing, filtering, aggregation, pricing, bandwidth allocation, content personalization, etc. Open source packages like Storm, Spark and Cloud Dataflow will fuel the speeded growth and commoditization of Big Data event processor.
  • Microservices: Microservices architecture will further grow. Applications will be finer-grained, specialized, lean and API accessible via REST and JSON. Standardized packaging mechanism will make integration and composition much easier and faster. The revived devops and automation ought to accelerate the creation of microservices platforms.
  • Analytics: Data analysis will be deeper and more meaningful towards predictive and prescriptive analytics. More semantic NLP and parallel mining of unstructured data are expected to be context-aware, location-relevant, time-sensitive, content-rich and social-friendly. Unconventional machine learning is going to play a critical role to extract insights and assist decision-making. Advanced analytics is to be embedded and self-serviced with applications.
  • Real-time: Near real-time (NRT) processing is becoming norm in a variety of vertical solutions. It is compulsory for applications to provide instant response for web-scale traffic on demand. Real-time mobile payment will be in the limelight. Vendor consolidation is forthcoming, and a handful of winners will prevail.
  • Telemetry: More highly automated communications processes are forecast to be more central, by which measurements are made and other data collected at remote or inaccessible points and transmitted to receiving equipment for monitoring and management. Increasing amount of telemetric data will be acquired and analyzed in an agile manner.
  • IoT: The Internet of Things market is gaining momentum. Smart phones will continue evolving, surpassing desktops as the primary device for users. More embedded sensors and wearables are projected to debut. Driverless cars, drones, intelligent robots and 3D printer are poised to take off. Other smart devices are predicted to be linked to the network, such as the connected car and Nest Thermostats. 
  • Containerization: The effective management and orchestration tools are coming to the mainstream to help assemble and move complex apps with many components running in many containers. Docker facilitates the image, registry, hosting, log and monitoring of apps, which enhances application portability, and in turn promotes interoperability. It paves the way to build and deploy smarter machines in the cloud.
  • SDA: NFV continues proliferating. Anything can be software-defined, in particular for better infrastructure programmability and adaptability, covering a wide range of hardware systems virtualized as a service, e.g. data center, VM, server, storage, network, firewall, WAN, router, etc., driven by open source initiatives like OpenFlow and OpenStack. 


These are the vibrant areas with a lot of innovation and disruption anticipated for the coming year. Data, device, and digitization (3D) will propel new products and services next year to converge the physical and virtual world.

For more information, please contact Tony Shan (blog@tonyshan.com) or leave your comments below. 
 ©Tony Shan. All rights reserved. All standard disclaimers apply here.

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